Incorporating financial development indicators into early warning systems

Development of Early Warning Indicators Based on Incident Investigation

This paper explores the possibility of developing early warning indicators based on incident investigation. The use of early warning indicators may contribute to ensure that oil companies produce oil and gas without harmful spills. The incident investigated was a hydraulic oil leak from the Eirik Raude drilling rig during exploration drilling in the Barents Sea in April 2005. The incident is an...

An early warning on early warning systems!

Construction of the Logistic Regression Estimation Model in Early Warning on Pure Financial Indicators

In order to establish a reasonable and effective financial crisis early warning model, the article chooses some financial indicators and uses factor analysis to get the common factors to conduct the most salient financial indicators. In the case that multirole linearity is not significant, the article uses the logistic regression to analyse eligible financial data and obtains the financial cris...

The Asian Financial Crisis and Warning Indicators – Then and Now

This paper presents data on the financial crisis in East Asia that started in Thailand in July 1997 and then spread to other emerging Asian economies and the rest of the world, and the warning indicators that were used to predict that crisis. The causes of the current financial and economic crisis in Asia are then examined as well as the reason that the same indicators could not predict the cur...

WG Early Warning Systems

Early Warning Systems aim at detecting unclassified but potentially harmful system behavior based on preliminary indications and are complementary to Intrusion Detection Systems. Both kinds of systems try to detect, identify and react before possible damage occurs and contribute to an integrated and aggregated situation report (big picture). A particular emphasis of Early Warning Systems is to ...